Met Office forecasters expect temperatures in the UK to remain at 30C for much of this week – but weather models now show the heatwave will soon end as the mercury drops to 6C
Advanced weather forecasting models show the heatwave which has seen temperatures rise above 30C for much of this month could soon come to a rather chilly end.
Met Office forecasters expect peak temperatures in southern parts of the UK to remain at 30C or more until at least Friday. Temperatures in northern areas are expected to peak at 28C or more until Friday too.
However, forecasts suggest we should see a drop off in temperatures over the weekend. The ECMWF weather model shows morning temperatures could drop as low as 6C in some parts of Scotland on Sunday.
In northern England, some Brits might be waking up to just 7C on Sunday. The warmest morning temperatures are expected in the south-west where 15C-16C is on the cards.
At around midday on Sunday, the ECMWF model shows temperatures peaking at just 17C in southern England – a far-cry from some of the scorching conditions we’ve seen in recent days. Wales is expected to reach 15C, with 13C coming in the Midlands and Northern Ireland.
Temperature anomaly maps for Sunday show most of the UK – bar the south-west – covered in blue. This indicates where temperatures are expected to be below the seasonal average.
In total, the ECMWF model shows 27C counties could see temperatures below 10C on Sunday morning. They are all in Scotland or northern England.
UK counties facing temperatures below 10C
Scotland
- Caithness
- Sutherland
- Ross-shire and Cromartyshire
- Inverness-shire
- Nairnshire
- Morayshire
- Banffshire
- Aberdeenshire
- Kincardineshire
- Angus
- Perthshire
- Kinross-shire
- Clackmannanshire
- Lanarkshire
- West Lothian
- Midlothian
- East Lothian
- Berwickshire
- Dumfriesshire
- Peeblesshire
- Selkirkshire
- Roxburghshire
England
- Northumberland
- Cumbria
- Durham
- Yorkshire
- Derbyshire
Met Office weather forecast
The Met Office says it expects temperatures to be “slowly declining from Saturday” as the strongest breezes shift to northern regions. And from Sunday onwards, conditions will be “somewhat less hot” than in recent days.
The Met Office forecast for July 19 to July 28 states: “Remaining predominantly dry for most parts of the country as high pressure is likely to remain close to the UK for much of this period.
“However, with the source region of the air being from the North Atlantic, it will be somewhat less hot compared to many recent days. Any showers during the start of the period are more likely across the far north.”