The base rate affects the interest that banks and lenders apply to mortgages, loans and saving accounts
The Bank of England has held interest rates at 3.75% but warned inflation is still expected to rise again this year.
Inflation fell to a 15-month low of 2.6% last month. However, it is expected to peak at about 3.2% in October and November, slightly lower than previous estimates, if the conflict in the Middle East continues and energy prices remain high.
The Bank of England has a target of 2% inflation. But the outlook for the UK economy has improved and is now expected to grow 1.1% in 2026.
This is better than was predicted in April, when growth was expected to be 0.8% under the most benign projection, or 0.7% under the worst-case scenario.
Governor Andrew Bailey said: “Inflation has fallen faster than expected but the conflict in the Middle East continues to mean high and volatile energy prices. That will cause inflation to rise again this year.
“However, as the conflict unfolds, our job is to make sure any increase in inflation is temporary and that it comes back to our 2% target.”
Six members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) committee, including Mr Bailey, voted to hold rates at 3.75%. The remaining three members wanted to increase the base rate to 4%.
It is the fifth time in a row where the base rate has been left unchanged, in a move that was widely expected by economists.
The base rate affects the interest that banks and lenders apply to mortgages, loans and saving accounts. It is also the main tool used by the Bank of England to control inflation, which is a measure of price rises.
When interest rates and the cost of borrowing are higher, people have less money to spend – this then means prices for goods and services tend to fall to encourage spending, which brings down inflation.
How does it affect my mortgage?
As the base rate has not changed, your mortgage repayments will also stay the same. But the impact of any future base rate decisions depends on the type of mortgage deal you have.
More than 30 lenders have increased their mortgage rates in recent weeks, according to Moneyfacts. Adam French, Head of Consumer Finance at Moneyfacts, said: “Unless the economic backdrop improves significantly, borrowers should not expect mortgage rates to fall much anytime soon.
“Anyone planning to take out a mortgage within the next six months should consider securing a deal sooner rather than later to protect themselves against further increases. If rates do fall before their mortgage completes, they can usually switch to a cheaper deal.”
If you have a tracker mortgage, this follows the movement of the base rate, so this can go up or down when it is updated. If you have a standard variable rate (SVR) mortgage, then this also generally changes when the base rate is updated, though lenders do not have to pass on the cut or rise in full.
If you have a fixed rate mortgage, your payments are not affected by the base rate, as you have agreed to pay a fixed amount every month for a set period of time.
Your payments will only change when your fixed deal ends – at this point, you will normally roll on to your lender’s standard variable rate unless you fix into another deal.
How does it affect my debt?
If your credit card is linked to the base rate, then you should not see any changes today. The average credit card purchase APR is around 36%, according to Moneyfacts.
But not all credit cards are explicitly linked to the base rate. Most credit cards have a variable rate, which means they can fluctuate over time, at the discretion of your lender.
Interest rates on personal loans and car financing are normally fixed. This means if you’re in the middle of an agreement, this should not change even when the base rate is updated, as you have already agreed set repayments.
However, a change in the base rate can impact the rates that are applied to new agreements.
Charlie Evans, Money Expert at Compare the Market, said: “Many providers set their own rates independently of the Bank of England. This means you could still find a more affordable deal by comparing what’s available, depending on your credit score and the type of card you’re applying for.“
How does it affect my savings?
When the base rate is higher, banks and building societies generally offer better savings rates – but when it is expected to fall, saving rates normally start coming down.
If your savings rate is variable, it can change from time to time. If your money is locked away into a fixed-rate account, then your rate will not change for a set period of time.
MoneySavingExpert.com lists the best rates currently available. Revolut offers 5% for six months on up to £25,000 for new customers, made up of 2.9% variable plus a six month 2.1% bonus.
Cahoot also pays 5% on up to £3,000 for up to a year, though the rate is variable. Tembo offers 4.55% on up to £20,000, which is made up of 3% variable plus a one year 1.55% bonus.
In terms of ISAs, Trading 212 offers 4.51% for newbies, made up of 3.6% variable and a one-year 0.91% bonus.
If you are looking to lock your cash away, GB Bank pays 4.92% for a one-year fix, or for a longer term, Investec offers 5% for a three-year fix and Atom Bank pays 5% on a five-year account.
Regular savings accounts offer the best rates, but these come with strict terms and conditions. You can normally only make small deposits each month and some accounts restrict how many withdrawals you can make.
Lloyds pays 8% fixed for one year but you can only deposit up to £250 each month, while Santander also offers 8%, though this is variable and on up to £200 a month.
Alice Haine, Head of Personal Finance at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “Keeping interest rates on hold at 3.75% is positive news for savers as it means money held in cash can work harder for longer.
“Savings rates have been gradually drifting lower since peaking in the Autumn of 2023, but with inflation easing to 2.6% in June, savers can still secure inflation-busting returns of up to 5% on both easy-access and fixed options.”
