Weather modelling maps for November show Brits across the country could soon see some snow as the data suggests flurries may sustain for six consecutive days
The first widespread snow of the season could be right around the corner as weather maps show blizzards may hit the UK for six days in a row.
The GFS weather model first shows snow falling in northern Scotland over high ground on the evening of November 9. Wintry conditions then looks set to spread across the country in the subsequent days, with the white stuff potentially falling in cities in southern England including London and Southampton.
In the early hours of November 10, maps show snow falling at a rate of around 5cm per hour across the Cairngorms National Park in Scotland. Inverness could see some light flurries at this stage, and the Pennines in England also look to be in the firing line.
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Maps for November 11 show snow falling across central and southern parts of Scotland, with Edinburgh set to see some flurries. At the same time, torrential rain is expected across almost all of England and Wales where 5mm of water could fall per hour.
The most intense snow looks set to land in northern Scotland on November 12, falling at a staggering rate of 10cm per hour in the Cairngorms National Park. Northern Ireland could also see some flurries, although snowfall there is expected to be less intense than in Scotland.
Maps show small pockets of snow drifting southward across November 13 and 14, potentially hitting a number of cities including Birmingham, Cardiff, Southampton, London and Plymouth.
Although data suggests this snowfall could be intense – possibly 5cm per hour in London – it will also be very brief, meaning snow isn’t expected to actually settle on the ground in England or Wales.
BBC Weather forecasters say conditions across the country could turn much cooler from mid-November. The BBC forecast for November 10 to 23 states: “For the second half of November the forecast has low confidence, even on broad patterns, with longer-range models diverging somewhat.
“Both have a suggestion of high pressure building somewhere in the vicinity of the eastern Atlantic or western Europe but exactly where it lines up will dictate the outcome.
“There will probably be a better chance of stringing some drier days together but that does not preclude occasional interruptions from bands of rain or showers, and a few windy periods. There should be another week of relatively mild weather but after mid-November it could become chillier, with temperatures closer to average, so frosty nights would become more likely.”
The Met Office’s forecast predicts unsettled weather and frosty nights to come, but stops short of predicting snow at this stage. The national weather agency’s forecast for November 3 to 12 states: “The changeable and at times unsettled weather is likely to continue through early November, with low pressure dominating the UK.
“This means further showers or longer spells of rain at times. All parts could see some heavy rain, but it is likely that western areas will be wettest. Strong winds are likely at times, with gales or severe gales a possibility, especially in the west. Equally there should also be some, at least brief, drier or clearer interludes, these more prevalent further east, but perhaps becoming a little more widespread and long-lasting by the end of the period.
“With winds predominantly blowing from a westerly or southwesterly quadrant, above average temperatures are most likely, with a reduced incidence of overnight frost and fog, compared to normal, especially at first.”
